Lesson 2.2: Conditional Probability
Software Lab 2.2 Solutions
- There were 58 hits and 75 misses.
- A streak length of one means one hit and one miss. A streak length of 0 means 0 hits and one miss.
- The distribution is right-skewed with a typical streak of 0 and a maximum streak of four.
streaks
0 1 2 3 4
39 24 6 6 1
Figure 1: Histogram of shooting streaks (hot hand) - On average you’d expect 66 or 67 heads and tails each, but since this is a random process your results will differ from this.
- On average you’d expect 26 or 27 heads, but since this is a random process your results will differ from this.
- Use the code
IF(UNIF()<0.45,"H","M"). - Again, your results will vary, but the distribution will likely be right-skewed with a typical streak of 0 and a maximum streak around four.
- The distribution won’t be exactly the same, but should be somewhat similar.
- Kobe Bryant’s distribution of streak lengths is quite similar to the distribution of streak lengths for the simulated shooter.
- It seems unlikely that Kobe Bryant had a hot hand in this series.
